A good write up, thanks! There is much to look forward to.
The 2019 and 2020 draft crops have been decent. and the 2021 draft promises at least 3 Top 30 picks which will be a massive boost.
It is a numbers game. On average AFL players enter their peak years at about age 24 and should sustain this through about age 28. Get enough good players hitting their peak at about the same time you should have 4 or 5 good seasons.
12 players listed. Of these...
DGB should play over 150 AFL games. He should play a 20 game season in 2022 or 2023 and be a major contributor in 2023 and beyond
Of the remaining 11 - if we can get 7 or more playing 20 game seasons in 2024 or 2025 we will be doing above average and 2025 promises to be a good year. All of these should also have +100 game careers
Who are the magnificent 7? My bet is on Brockman, Mitchell, Downie, Greaves, Jeka, Callow and Newcombe.
I like Harry a lot but feel like he is about a season or two behind the others - he may be shuffled back by the next draft. Same goes for for Morris.
Mitchell is a complete unknown but the raps are good and as a Top 30 pick his odds of being in the 7 should be decent - losing the better part of year though is a setback.
Finn - odds are he will be at least an 80 game player for the Hawks - based on where he was drafted.
Saunders - could surprise but based on where he was drafted he should be a 50 game player.
Thanks Frank, some great comments here! I think you're spot on regarding your comment on needing a number of players from that list to play big games over the next 2.5 years. My tips is that Brockman, Mitchell, Downie, Finn, Jeka, Newcombe will make it, the others I'm not so sure.
If you compliment that with the high end draft picks (I'd love us to somehow snag one more top 20 pick) and add to that the games that CJ, Reeves, Day, Koschitzke, etc. will play (which will further develop them) we're starting to build the nucellus of a pretty good team in a couple of years.
It's all very interesting though, and discussing it helps pass the time while the results aren't all that good!
A good write up, thanks! There is much to look forward to.
The 2019 and 2020 draft crops have been decent. and the 2021 draft promises at least 3 Top 30 picks which will be a massive boost.
It is a numbers game. On average AFL players enter their peak years at about age 24 and should sustain this through about age 28. Get enough good players hitting their peak at about the same time you should have 4 or 5 good seasons.
12 players listed. Of these...
DGB should play over 150 AFL games. He should play a 20 game season in 2022 or 2023 and be a major contributor in 2023 and beyond
Of the remaining 11 - if we can get 7 or more playing 20 game seasons in 2024 or 2025 we will be doing above average and 2025 promises to be a good year. All of these should also have +100 game careers
Who are the magnificent 7? My bet is on Brockman, Mitchell, Downie, Greaves, Jeka, Callow and Newcombe.
I like Harry a lot but feel like he is about a season or two behind the others - he may be shuffled back by the next draft. Same goes for for Morris.
Mitchell is a complete unknown but the raps are good and as a Top 30 pick his odds of being in the 7 should be decent - losing the better part of year though is a setback.
Finn - odds are he will be at least an 80 game player for the Hawks - based on where he was drafted.
Saunders - could surprise but based on where he was drafted he should be a 50 game player.
Thanks Frank, some great comments here! I think you're spot on regarding your comment on needing a number of players from that list to play big games over the next 2.5 years. My tips is that Brockman, Mitchell, Downie, Finn, Jeka, Newcombe will make it, the others I'm not so sure.
If you compliment that with the high end draft picks (I'd love us to somehow snag one more top 20 pick) and add to that the games that CJ, Reeves, Day, Koschitzke, etc. will play (which will further develop them) we're starting to build the nucellus of a pretty good team in a couple of years.
It's all very interesting though, and discussing it helps pass the time while the results aren't all that good!